Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Super Bowl Betting - Prop Odds

Are you a heads man or do you subscribe to the playground theory tails never fails? Super Bowl Props have become such a huge part of Super Bowl betting that has left one Super Bowl XLIV prop up all year long. The moment that Pittsburgh won Super Bowl XLIII, our props manager opened super bowl betting on the result of the coin toss for this year’s super bowl. Let’s look at why this is such a popular bet and examine some strategies for picking the right side. (Hint there is no good strategy for picking the right side)

Most wise guys that I know generally stay away from prop betting but almost all of them are willing to throw a few dimes on the coin toss for just the reasons we mentioned above. It’s low on juice and a true 50/50 proposition. Last season our props manager said he had some of our biggest bettors asking to put over $10,000 on the flip. “I’ll trust the toss of a coin before I trust some 18 year old kid to hit two free throws at the end of a college basketball game,” one sharp bettor said.

Personally, I pick tails, my wife always picks heads, what do you choose? Chances are if you bet the favorite or don’t bet at all, you will likely pick tails or if you are like me and lean towards the underdog in most game or consider yourself a sharp player, you will pick tails.

I took completely unscientific poll of 30 randomish people from around the office; here are my results. 16 people picked heads and 14 people picked tails but if we look deeper into the results, of the 15 people from the sportsbook, 10 of them picked tails. It’s safe to assume these people know online betting a lot better than the average person.

Before making your Super Bowl Betting XLIV coin toss bet, you may want to consider a few trends

* In 43 Super Bowls Heads has landed 22 times, Tails 21
* The NFC has won the toss 12 straight years – odds of doing so 2048/1
* The NFC has won the coin toss 29 times, the AFC 14 times
* The winner of the coin toss has a losing record in the Super Bowl 20-23

So you bet Heads to get ahead or if you’re like me and yell “Tails never fails!” before the toss, you can take advantage of this low juice, 50/50 proposition right now. Enjoy the game.

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